KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 59.2%-2.0ptEn tête parmi 13 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualite du marche
≤89 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
19,4 k €
Liquidité
1,4 M €
Liquidité élevéeSpread
0.4 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 20 minutes
18 janv. 26, 15:0025 oct. 27, 14:00
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Règles
If the named outcome has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:AP
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Référence CoinRithm Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 63% · 3 plateformes · 2 pt d’ecart entre venues
- Également disponible sur Gemini — Brazil Presidential Election Winner 2026? · Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 60%
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — Brazil Presidential Election · Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 62%
- Également disponible sur Manifold Markets — Brazil Presidential Election Winner · Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 61%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Brazil Presidential election winner? ?
- Kalshi cote Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva à 59% au 25 août 2026.
- Quand Brazil Presidential election winner? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Brazil Presidential election winner? doit être résolu le 25 octobre 2027.
- Comment Brazil Presidential election winner? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the named outcome has won the 2026 Brazilian presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Où Brazil Presidential election winner? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Gemini, Polymarket, Manifold Markets.