Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 92.1%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 heures
Obsolète8 avr. 26, 22:46 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Manifold reach 100k monthly active users before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Bluesky exceed 50 million monthly active users before December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Cursor report 10M monthly active users before Jan 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsMercadoLibre fintech monthly active users in Q3
KalshiLife360 monthly active users in Q3
KalshiWhich of the following social platforms will die first? (die = lose >50% of average monthly active users YoY)
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market resolves YES if Claude (by Anthropic) reaches or exceeds ChatGPT's monthly active users at any point before December 31, 2026.
- Resolution will be based on publicly reported figures from Anthropic and OpenAI, or credible third-party sources such as Reuters, Bloomberg, or The Verge.
- As of April 2026, ChatGPT has ~900M weekly active users vs Claude's ~18.9M monthly active users.
