Probabilité implicite actuelle
No solution by Dec 31, 2027 28.6%En tête parmi 6 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
72 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
12,5 k €
Liquidité
15,3 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
9 sept. 26, 19:43 UTC1 janv. 28, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will an AI solve a Millennium problem by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich Millennium prize problem will be solved next? (after Navier-Stokes)
Manifold MarketsWill some Millennium Prize Problem be solved before 2028?
Manifold MarketsHow many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
PolymarketWhich math problems will AI solve in 2026?
PolymarketWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve according to the first qualifying Millennium Prize Problem for which an eligible AI lab announces a solution by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
- If no eligible AI lab announces a solution to a qualifying problem by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "the named outcome".
- If solutions to two or more qualifying problems are announced on the same calendar day (ET), this market will resolve to the problem whose name, as listed below, comes first in alphabetical order.
- The qualifying problems are, in alphabetical order, the the named outcome Conjecture, the the named outcome, the named outcome, the the named outcome, and the Yang-Mills existence and mass gap problem (https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/).
- Announcements concerning the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem will not qualify.
- A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify.
