Probabilité implicite actuelle
No release by November 1 35%+4.0ptEn tête parmi 11 options
Qualité du marché
61 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
525,1 €
Liquidité
10,8 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
2.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+2.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
17 août 26, 23:32 UTC1 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiWill Google Gemini hack a company during testing before Gemini 3.5 Pro/Gemini 4 Pro gets released?
Manifold MarketsWill Microsoft add Google Gemini as a selectable model in Excel Agent Mode by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public.
- Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview).
- Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
- Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.