Probabilité implicite actuelle
October 31 57.7%-6.0ptEn tête parmi 22 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
69 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
11,8 k €
Liquidité
17,1 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
2.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
13
Variation 7j
-5.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
1 juin 26, 22:56 UTC1 nov. 26, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Next Google Gemini Pro Model released on?
PolymarketWhen will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?
PolymarketNext Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
PolymarketNext Gemini Pro model release
KalshiWill Google Gemini hack a company during testing before Gemini 3.5 Pro/Gemini 4 Pro gets released?
Manifold MarketsWill Microsoft add Google Gemini as a selectable model in Excel Agent Mode by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview).
- Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
- Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
Marchés ouverts
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-11.0pt62.4%
- 2027-3.5pt29.7%
- 2026-1.5pt7.9%
- Volume total
- 241,3 k €
- Volume 24h
- 128 k €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-2.0pt88%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,+1.0pt85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt58.8%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt23.5%
- Grok+2.3pt7.8%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+1.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+3.0pt10%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking+1.0pt5%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 résultats de plus
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+1.0pt80.6%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt10.2%
- Gemini+1.0pt2.8%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 349,4 k €
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
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- Anthropic market share this week
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI market share this week
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Most popular AI this week
- DeepSeek market share this week
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date? ?
- Polymarket cote October 31 à 58% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date? doit être résolu le 1 novembre 2026.
- Comment Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET).