Probabilité implicite actuelle
1480+ 87%-0.2%En tête parmi 5 options
Qualite du marche
61 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
8,1 k €
Liquidité
17,2 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
37.0% / 45.0%
Spread
21.6%
Spread largeVariation 7j
+16.5%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 minutes
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
1480+87%
Tendance du volume
$9.2k2 juil.26j de données27 juil.
Marchés Associés
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42,1 k €Anthropic: 99%
POLYMARKET
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POLYMARKETWill any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
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Best Chinese AI Company this week
8,2 k €Moonshot: 1%
KALSHI
KALSHI
When will a non-SpaceX successfully reusable booster be first launched?
6,2 k €By Dec 31, 2025: 74%
MANIFOLD MARKETS
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Top Coding AI this week
4,1 k €Kimi: 98%KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Any Gemini model newly added to the leaderboard and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-2.5-pro, gemini-3-pro, or gemini-3.1-pro-preview).
- Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
- Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
- This market will resolve solely based on the specified score in the Score column of the leaderboard, regardless of any underlying granular or unrounded data presented elsewhere.