Probabilité implicite actuelle
1480+ 85%-9.2ptEn tête parmi 5 options
Qualité du marché
64 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
4,9 k €
Liquidité
4,2 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
1.2 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
2
Variation 7j
-10.4 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?
PolymarketNext Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
PolymarketNext Google Gemini Pro Model released on?
PolymarketWill Google Gemini hack a company during testing before the next Gemini Pro model gets released?
Manifold MarketsGemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score
KalshiNext Gemini Pro model release
KalshiRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Any Gemini model newly added to the leaderboard and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-2.5-pro, gemini-3-pro, or gemini-3.1-pro-preview).
- Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
- Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
- This market will resolve solely based on the specified score in the Score column of the leaderboard, regardless of any underlying granular or unrounded data presented elsewhere.
Marchés ouverts
AIKALSHIWhat will Trump say during The Ingraham Angle?
- Tariff99%
- AI / Artificial Intelligence99%
- Fake News99%
+24 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 94,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 94,2 k €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+2.2pt67.7%
- ChatGPT-4.8pt15.7%
- Gemini-0.4pt6.9%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,3 M €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+1.5pt91%
- December 15,+4.5pt90%
- November 30,+5.5pt89%
+7 résultats de plus
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+8.0pt89.4%
- Muse+1.0pt2.9%
- ChatGPT-8.0pt1.9%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 416,3 k €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-64.6pt3%
- 1490+-39.9pt1%
- 1500+-25.4pt1%
+2 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027-3.0pt85%
- 2026+1.5pt73%
- September 30, 2026-4.5pt39%
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic market share this week
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- DeepSeek market share this week
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut? ?
- Polymarket cote 1480+ à 85% au 12 septembre 2026.
- Comment Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard.