Probabilité implicite actuelle
Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer 56%En tête parmi 14 options
Qualité du marché
32 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
337,4 €
Liquidité
621,2 €
Faible liquiditéÉcart
57.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
9 sept. 26, 19:44 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
PolymarketWill an AI make a new breakthrough on the hardest math problems, as defined by Epoch AI, by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
PolymarketWill an AI solve a Millennium problem by EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill an AI solve any important mathematical conjecture before January 1st, 2030?
Manifold MarketsSecond-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying announcement must be made by an eligible AI lab or an official representative of the lab, and must express that the problem specified in the title has been solved; announcements of partial results or progress toward a solution will not qualify.
- The announcement must present the solution as the work of the lab, its researchers, or its models, alone or jointly with outside researchers.
- An announcement that only credits or congratulates outside researchers, including researchers who used the lab's models, compute, or research credits, will not qualify.
- No further confirmation from the Clay Mathematics Institute or any other organization is required.
Marchés ouverts
AI
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-3.0pt56.3%
- ChatGPT-3.3pt24.3%
- Grok+2.4pt7.8%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 102,1 k €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,-1.0pt84%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,4 M €
KALSHIWhat will Spotify CEO say during Goldman Sachs Communacopia?
- Anthropic / Claude+62.0pt99%
- Video+55.0pt99%
- Royalty / Licensing+63.0pt99%
+14 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027-0.5pt62.5%
- 2026-10.0pt25%
- September 30, 2026-4.0pt12.5%
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 résultats de plus
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 4.1%+8.0pt99%
- Above 3.7%+1.0pt99%
- Above 2.2%99%
+6 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 44,4 k €
- Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Anthropic market share this week
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- What will Macy's say during their next earnings call?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which math problems will AI solve in 2026? ?
- Polymarket cote Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer à 56% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which math problems will AI solve in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which math problems will AI solve in 2026? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2027.
- Comment Which math problems will AI solve in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to "Yes" if an eligible AI lab announces a solution to the problem specified in the title by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.