Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 97.4%
Prévisionnistes
71
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
21 déc. 24, 20:12 UTC31 déc. 27, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which AI lab's model will be the first to solve a Millennium Problem?
Manifold MarketsWill a millennium problem be solved in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Artificial Intelligence solve a Millennium Prize Problem before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiAI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
PolymarketWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketRègles
This market tracks whether an artificial intelligence system will solve one of the remaining Millennium Prize Problems.
- Resolution will be based on official announcements from the Clay Mathematics Institute confirming an AI-generated solution.
- https://www.metaculus.com/questions/17432/ai-solves-millennium-problem-before-july-2025/
- https://www.claymath.org/millennium-problems/
Marchés ouverts
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 135,2 k €
- Volume 24h
- 102,7 k €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,1 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 325 k €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 résultats de plus
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will an AI solve a Millennium problem by EOY 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 97% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will an AI solve a Millennium problem by EOY 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will an AI solve a Millennium problem by EOY 2027? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2027.
- Comment Will an AI solve a Millennium problem by EOY 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market tracks whether an artificial intelligence system will solve one of the remaining Millennium Prize Problems.