Who or what will appear on the cover of TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year issue? [add answers]
IA3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleExactly one person 51.6%En tête parmi 7 options
Prévisionnistes
12
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 heures
Obsolète11 déc. 25, 07:48 UTC11 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will be TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year?
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PolymarketRègles
All people or things which appear on the cover will resolve YES.
- If there are multiple versions of the cover, an appearance on any one version of the cover is sufficient for YES.
- A straightforward non-photographic depiction (painting, caricature, AI-generated image, etc) is sufficient for YES if it's clear to me from the depiction itself who (or what) is being depicted.
- Abstract artistic representations won't qualify as an appearance of any real thing, but can be submitted as explicit answers.
- For example, a glowing floating brain with circuit traces probably qualifies for YES on "[an abstract representation of Artificial Intelligence]".
- For these, my interpretation of the image will be influenced by the headline and article contents.
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- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Who or what will appear on the cover of TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year issue? [add answers] ?
- Manifold Markets cote Exactly one person à 52% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Who or what will appear on the cover of TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year issue? [add answers] sera-t-il résolu ?
- Who or what will appear on the cover of TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year issue? [add answers] doit être résolu le 11 décembre 2026.
- Comment Who or what will appear on the cover of TIME Magazine's 2026 Person of the Year issue? [add answers] est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : All people or things which appear on the cover will resolve YES.