Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 22 juil. 2026, 05:20 UTC · politique pm-quality-2
Prévision communautaire actuelleVance (R) defeats Newsom (D) 5.7%-0.3%En tête parmi 9 options
Prévisionnistes
30
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour hier
Obsolète15 oct. 25, 3:317 nov. 28, 6:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Vance (R) defeats Newsom (D)6%
Tendance du volume
$3317 juil.2j de données22 juil.
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KALSHI
KALSHI
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KALSHI
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POLYMARKET
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Each option requires that the listed candidate both be nominated by their respective party and then win the election.
- This is a derivative market, and will resolve according to these underlying markets:
- @/EvanDaniel/who-will-be-elected-president-in-20-zA926yNPOA
- @/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-e7fd97afa9bf
- @/DylanSlagh/who-will-be-the-republican-nominee-757313dd0344
- Update 2025-10-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Independent or 3rd party wins are included in the "Other" option.