Les États-Unis confirmeront-ils que les extraterrestres existent ?
1.0 pts (24h)PolitiqueOne-OffSciencePolitique américaine2mois
KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Avant le 20 janvier 2029 · —
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Prix enregistré
Avant le 20 janvier 2029 Achat–vente enregistré21%–22%Collecté: Dernière transaction: 21% · Heure de transaction inconnuePrix en pourcentage du versement, avant frais ; ces observations enregistrées ne sont pas des cotations exécutables.En tête parmi 7 options
Avant le 20 janvier 2029 Achat–vente enregistré21%–22%Collecté: Dernière transaction: 21% · Heure de transaction inconnuePrix en pourcentage du versement, avant frais ; ces observations enregistrées ne sont pas des cotations exécutables.Qualité du marché
≤74 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
106,3 k €
Intérêt ouvert
12,7 M €
Intérêt ouvert élevéAchat / Vente
— / —
Avant le 20 janvier 2029Écart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
5 déc. 25, 06:00 UTC1 janv. 27, 15:00 UTC
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Tendances
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Avant la clôture: 1% ·
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Conditions de la plateforme
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- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Avant le 20 janvier 2029
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
If the President, any member of the Cabinet, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:the Executive Branch of the United States government
- For purposes of this Contract, the Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 government agencies in the Cabinet as of Issuance, as well the Administrator of the EPA, the President's Chief of Staff, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Before Jan 20, 2029
- If the President, any member of the Cabinet, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If the President, any member of the Cabinet, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If the President, any member of the Cabinet, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Dec 1, 2026
- If the President, any member of the Cabinet, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before Nov 1, 2026
- If the President, any member of the Cabinet, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before September
- If the President, any member of the Cabinet, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Before October
- If the President, any member of the Cabinet, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.