Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?
2.0 pts (24h)PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineGéopolitiqueMoyen-Orient2mois
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Non · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Référence enregistrée
Non 72%
Non 72%Qualité du marché
63 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
70,1 €
Liquidité
19,1 k €
Liquidité moyenneIntérêt ouvert
8,1 k $US
Achat / Vente
— / —
NonÉcart
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Commentaires
0
Variation 7j
-8.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 minutes
3 sept. 26, 13:21 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Polymarket
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Ordre minimum (parts):
- 5
- Pas de cotation:
- 1 points de pourcentage
- Frais:
- Non
Principaux détenteurs
Chargement des principaux détenteurs
Profondeur du marché · Non
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
PolymarketWill Iran and Oman announce a permanent Hormuz shipping scheme by October 31?
Manifold MarketsUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by which date?
PolymarketWho wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?
PolymarketWho wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement and oil below $80 before the midterms?
PolymarketWill a crossing of the Strait of Hormuz, between Iran and Oman or UAE, have started construction by 2040?
Manifold MarketsRègles
On July 13, 2026, Trump announced the United States would reinstate its naval blockade of Iran, targeting Iranian ships and customers.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States government, or an authorized representative of the United States government, publicly and officially announces the end, termination, lifting, or suspension of the United States’ naval blockade on Iranian ships and ships of Iranian customers before a diplomatic agreement between Oman and Iran over traffic in the strait of Hormuz is announced.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If neither a qualifying announcement of the end of the blockade nor a qualifying diplomatic agreement between Oman and Iran occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
- An announcement of the end of the blockade qualifies if it communicates that the United States will generally cease blocking vessel traffic for Iranian ships and customers, including an announcement that the blockade will not take effect at all, even if some restrictions remain (for example, an imposition of fees).
- An announcement does not qualify if it reflects only a limited or partial change that stops short of a general end or suspension of the blockade, for example, an exemption for a specific vessel, cargo, or port.
