Will Iran and Oman announce a permanent Hormuz shipping scheme by October 31?
PolitiqueOne-OffSpaceTechGéopolitiqueMiddle EastEurope1moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 88.3%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète26 août 26, 16:04 UTC31 oct. 26, 11:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolves YES if Iran and Oman jointly announce, adopt, or sign a permanent framework for commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz by 11:59 PM UTC on October 31, 2026.
- Otherwise resolves NO.
- A temporary route, an agreement merely to continue talks, or a unilateral proposal does not count.
- Source: Associated Press.
- The market closes twelve hours before the deadline.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Iran and Oman announce a permanent Hormuz shipping scheme by October 31? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 88% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Iran and Oman announce a permanent Hormuz shipping scheme by October 31? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Iran and Oman announce a permanent Hormuz shipping scheme by October 31? doit être résolu le 31 octobre 2026.
- Comment Will Iran and Oman announce a permanent Hormuz shipping scheme by October 31? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves YES if Iran and Oman jointly announce, adopt, or sign a permanent framework for commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz by 11:59 PM UTC on October 31, 2026.