PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
September 15 33%En tête parmi 3 options
Qualité du marché
44 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
2,8 k €
Liquidité
10,1 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
41.8 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
10 sept. 26, 19:04 UTC15 sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Houthis seize an oil tanker by which date?
PolymarketHouthis target Saudi Arabia by which date?
PolymarketWill Iran officially unveil a new Strait of Hormuz shipping corridor by September 18, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the temporary Iran–Oman Hormuz shipping route begin operating by September 15?
Manifold MarketsWill Iran and Oman announce a permanent Hormuz shipping scheme by October 31?
Manifold MarketsHouthis enter Aden by which date?
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Houthi forces conduct a kinetic strike on or otherwise seize control of a commercial ship between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM AST (UTC+03:00).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
- Missile/drone strikes targeting a ship that are intercepted or otherwise do not directly impact the vessel will not be considered, regardless of damage through debris.
- Seize control refers to Houthi forces forcefully boarding and taking control of a commercial ship.
- Qualifying incidents include, but are not limited to, drone and missile strikes, aerial bombings, and kinetic actions carried out by Houthi operatives in person, such as seizing a ship by force.