PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelleDecember 31 46%En tête parmi 4 options
Qualite du marche
73 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
16,8 k €
Liquidité
242,9 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
5.0% / 6.0%
Spread
20.0%
Spread largeVariation 7j
+0.5%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
13 mai 26, 3:3531 déc. 26, 0:00
Tendances
0%
Résultat choisi
December 3146%
Marchés Associés
US x Russia military clash by...?
48,8 k €December 31,: 5%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
48,4 k €Oui: 2%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?
14,8 k €Oui: 8%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will there be official peace talks involving both Putin and Zelenskyy before Aug 2026?
129,9 €Oui: 19%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhich country will build the first Military Space Station?
116,9 €USA: 45.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Russia conduct a nuclear weapon test on Novaya Zemlya archipelago by 2027?
65 €Oui: 13.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Bitcoin price tumbles after Trump orders military response to IranCrypto News
No-win bets keep Iran regime change odds high as market eyes 2027Blockchain.News
Ukraine NATO Bid Doubt Surges: Polymarket Bets Narrow to NoBlockchain.News
Russia Sanctions British Teen Over Crypto Sanctions ReportBlockchain.News
Russia targets British 17-year-old for alleging digital assets were skirting sanctionsCointelegraph
Russia targets 17-year-old Browder over A7A5 crypto findingsCrypto NewsRègles
This market will resolve to “Yes” if there is a ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A ceasefire agreement refers to any mutually-agreed suspension of direct military engagement between Russia and Ukraine, which is either officially announced by both countries or confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have been mutually agreed by both countries.
- A broader peace deal, normalization agreement, political framework, truce, or humanitarian pause will qualify if it includes a mutually agreed suspension of direct military engagement, to be effective on a specified date.
- Agreements that outline future negotiations or de-escalation measures without an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not qualify.
- Any form of informal understanding, backchannel communication, de-escalation without an announced agreement, or unilateral pause in hostilities will not be considered a ceasefire agreement.