Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 94.7%
Prévisionnistes
17
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète13 juil. 26, 11:06 UTC1 janv. 50, 12:04 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Darline Graham run for and win Lindsey Graham's senate seat in the 2026 Senate Election?
Manifold MarketsWill Lindsey Graham be Reelected?
Manifold MarketsWill an alleged male lover of Lindsey Graham come forward to the MSM at any time during the remainder of 2026?
Manifold MarketsDid Russia kill Jeffrey Epstein?
Manifold MarketsWill the Graham Act sanctions take effect in 2026?
KalshiRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves YES if strong evidence emerges that Russia assassinated Lindsey Graham before January 1st 2050.
- “Russia” includes the Russian state, its government, military, intelligence services, or agents or proxies acting under their direction or with their authorization. “Assassinated” means Lindsey Graham was intentionally killed for political, strategic, or state-related purposes.
- Strong evidence includes, but is not limited to:
- A formal attribution by the United States government or another highly credible government;
- A court judgment or criminal conviction establishing Russian responsibility;
- A clear consensus among multiple reputable, independent investigations based on corroborated documentary, forensic, intelligence, or eyewitness evidence;