PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
December 31 51%+4.0ptEn tête parmi 6 options
Qualité du marché
68 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
8,4 k €
Liquidité
72,7 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
19
Variation 7j
-3.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
18 juin 26, 2:2231 déc. 26, 23:59
Tendances
0%
Règles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments.
- Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
- Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
- Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.