PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelleDecember 31 53%+1.0%En tête parmi 3 options
Qualite du marche
89 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
24,9 k €
Liquidité
91 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
24.0% / 25.0%
Spread
4.2%
Spread modéréVariation 7j
-16.0%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
18 juin 26, 2:2231 déc. 26, 20:59
Tendances
0%
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
December 3153%
Grosses transactions
$1.0k76.1%Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? — NoManzana698-16 h
Marchés Associés
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
41 k €December 31: 18%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?
16 k €2026: 9%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
15,4 k €Oui: 19%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine?
939,9 €Before 2025-01-01: 0%
MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill there be widespread fuel shortages in Moscow city before 1 December 2026?
684,3 €Oui: 74.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Volodymyr Zelenskyy departure announced?
599,4 €Before Oct 1, 2026: 9%
KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine aimed at discussing a ceasefire, peace agreement, or other substantive de-escalation of the ongoing conflict by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments.
- Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
- Meetings or talks limited to humanitarian issues will not qualify unless they also include substantive negotiation regarding broader Russia-Ukraine peace terms, such as a ceasefire, peace agreement, territorial issues, security guarantees, or similar.
- Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.