Will Russia and Ukraine hold direct peace talks before November 1, 2026?
One-OffRussia / UkraineGéopolitique1moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 74.8%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
6 sept. 26, 08:24 UTC1 nov. 26, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
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Manifold MarketsRègles
On September 5, 2026, Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner met Vladimir Putin at the Kremlin for about five hours and then travelled on to Kyiv.
- Their stated goal was to restart direct Russia-Ukraine negotiations, which have been suspended for six months.
- Russia and Ukraine agreed to a three-day pause on strikes against Kyiv and Moscow so the American delegation could travel safely between the two capitals.
- No agreement came out of the Kremlin meeting; Putin said he has "full trust" in US mediation.
- This market asks whether the two governments actually sit down together.
- RESOLVES YES if, on or before 2026-10-31 23:59 UTC, Reuters or the Associated Press reports that officials representing the government of Russia and officials representing the government of Ukraine met IN PERSON, in the same room, at talks whose reported subject includes ending the war, a ceasefire, or a peace settlement. - The seniority of the delegations does not matter. - A meeting mediated or attended by third parties (the United States, Turkey, others) still counts, so long as Russian and Ukrainian officials are both physically present.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Russia and Ukraine hold direct peace talks before November 1, 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 75% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Russia and Ukraine hold direct peace talks before November 1, 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Russia and Ukraine hold direct peace talks before November 1, 2026? doit être résolu le 1 novembre 2026.
- Comment Will Russia and Ukraine hold direct peace talks before November 1, 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : On September 5, 2026, Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner met Vladimir Putin at the Kremlin for about five hours and then travelled on to Kyiv.