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  • Accueil
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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Russia / Ukraine
  3. Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?

Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?

0.5% (24h)One-OffRussia / Ukraine6mo
PolymarketPolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
December 31
December 31 38%+0.5%
Qualite du marche

91 / 100

Haute qualité
Volume 24h

1,3 k €

Liquidité

60,7 k €

Liquidité élevée
Achat / Vente

37.0% / 38.0%

Spread

2.7%

Spread serré
Variation 7j

+2.0%

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes

19 févr. 26, 20:4531 déc. 26, 0:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

December 3138%

Règles

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Kostyantynivka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.528896° N, 37.702514° E) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Kostyantynivka will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
  • If the area is not shaded red by the resolution date, the market will resolve to “No”.
  • For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
  • If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
  • Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.

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Manifold Markets

When will Russia capture Kostyantynivka?

675,6 €
Before February: 0%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
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Will Ukraine lose more territory in 2026 than it did in 2025?

446,9 €
Oui: 14.2%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
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Will there be official peace talks involving both Putin and Zelenskyy before Aug 2026?

129,9 €
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Actifs dans ces sujets

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Actualités Associées

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Règles

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Kostyantynivka, Donetsk Oblast, (48.528896° N, 37.702514° E) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Kostyantynivka will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
  • If the area is not shaded red by the resolution date, the market will resolve to “No”.
  • For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
  • If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
  • Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.