Will Russia invade a NATO country by which date?
1.0 pts (24h)One-OffGéopolitiqueRussia / UkraineEurope3mois
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
December 31, 6%-1.0ptEn tête parmi 4 options
Qualité du marché
69 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
959,1 €
Liquidité
57,8 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
64
Variation 7j
-0.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 19 minutes
28 mai 25, 22:16 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Perdu
Perdu
Avant la clôture: 0% ·
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any NATO country between May 28 and the named outcome, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by NATO member states or Russia as of May 28, 2025, will be considered the sovereign territory of those countries.
- Hybrid or “grey zone” operations conducted by unmarked personnel will qualify if they are confirmed to be Russian operatives and are intended to establish de facto control over territory, as occurred in Crimea (2014) or Donbas (2014–2022).
- The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.
