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  • Accueil
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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Russia / Ukraine
  3. Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

Will Russia invade another country in 2026?

1.0% (24h)One-OffRussia / Ukraine6mo
PolymarketPolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Oui
Oui 12%+0.0%
Qualite du marche

64 / 100

Qualité moyenne
Volume 24h

302 €

Liquidité

29,3 k €

Liquidité élevée
Achat / Vente

11.0% / 12.0%

Spread

9.1%

Spread large
Variation 7j

-1.0%

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes

19 janv. 26, 20:3531 déc. 26, 0:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Yes12%

Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
  • The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Manifold Markets

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Will Ukraine lose more territory in 2026 than it did in 2025?

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Actifs dans ces sujets

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Actualités Associées

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Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of any UN member state's territory, other than Ukraine's, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by any UN member state, as of market creation, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country.
  • The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.