Will Russia invade a new country by the end of 2030?
One-OffGéopolitiqueMoyen-OrientRussie / Ukraine4a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 55.9%
Oui 55.9%Prévisionnistes
63
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 heures
Obsolète11 juin 24, 19:40 UTC1 janv. 31, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Russia invade another country by which date?
PolymarketWhich countries will Russia invade by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia invade all continents and start wars in every continent before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia invade a NATO country by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia invade any NATO country before 31 December 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia invade a NATO country before 2030?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Criteria for Resolution:
- Definition of "New Country":
- - A "new country" refers to any country that is not being invaded and/or at least partially occupied by Russia or its proxies as of June 11, 2024.
- This excludes Ukraine, Moldova, and Georgia.
- Syria is also included for the sake of consistency, while there may be ambiguity on the correspondence of its case to the formal definitions given in this description.
- Definition of Invasion:
