KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Gustavo Petro 100%En tête parmi 35 options
Qualité du marché
≤74 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
4,5 k €
Liquidité
962 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
13 déc. 25, 15:00 UTC2 janv. 27, 03:17 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which of these African leaders will leave office next?
KalshiWhich of these 10 Asian leaders will leave office next?
PredictItWhich World Leaders will leave office before EOY 2027? (Add Answers)
Manifold MarketsWhich of these 10 European leaders will leave office next?
PredictItWhich cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?
PolymarketWill Republican leaders say Trump lacks authority in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If the named outcome has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of Israel or has actually left Prime Minister of Israel before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:office or organization where person holds officeThe New York Timesthe Associated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC
- An "official announcement" means a statement by the person themselves, their authorized representative, or the official body governing the office that the person will be departing from the office.
- Such announcements must be reported by at least one Source Agency to be considered official.
- The announcement must not specify they are leaving in more than a year from the statement, in which case the market does not resolve to Yes.
- "Leaving office" means the person no longer holds the office in any capacity, including but not limited to: resignation (effective), termination, removal, impeachment and removal, recall, or the expiration of their term without renewal.
- Temporary absences such as medical leave, suspension with possibility of return, or delegation of duties while retaining the office do NOT constitute leaving office.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Manifold Markets — Which World Leaders will be out in 2026? · Viktor Orban (Hungary Prime Minister) 100%
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which leaders will leave office in 2026? ?
- Kalshi cote Gustavo Petro à 100% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which leaders will leave office in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which leaders will leave office in 2026? doit être résolu le 2 janvier 2027.
- Comment Which leaders will leave office in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the named outcome has either officially announced their intention to leave as Prime Minister of Israel or has actually left Prime Minister of Israel before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Où Which leaders will leave office in 2026? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Manifold Markets.