PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelleOui 71%
Qualite du marche
91 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
969,7 €
Liquidité
31,5 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
70.0% / 72.0%
Spread
2.9%
Spread serréVariation 7j
+3.5%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes
6 janv. 26, 22:4931 déc. 26, 0:00
Tendances
Résultat choisi
Yes71%
Également disponible sur Manifold Markets
Nothing Ever Happens 2026
6mo
70%
30%
Prévision communautaire20 prévisionnistesType: binary
Volume total518,2 €
Volume 24h2,7 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSRègles
This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- - Trump out as President - China invades Taiwan - Xi Jinping out - U.S. invades Iran - Iranian regime falls - Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’ - Jeffrey Epstein alive - Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate - Russia invades a NATO country - Trump acquires Greenland - 9.0 or above earthquake - Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) - Major meteor strike (250kt+)
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
- The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
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KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
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This market will resolve to “No” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 ET:
- - Trump out as President - China invades Taiwan - Xi Jinping out - U.S. invades Iran - Iranian regime falls - Bitcoin hits ‘↑ 1M’ or ‘↓ 10k’ - Jeffrey Epstein alive - Republican Trifecta with Supermajority in the Senate - Russia invades a NATO country - Trump acquires Greenland - 9.0 or above earthquake - Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) - Major meteor strike (250kt+)
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Yes”.
- The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/NEH+2026.pdf