PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Nothing 97%+0.1pt
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
12,6 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
96.3% / 97.8%
Écart
1.5 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
4
Variation 7j
-0.1 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
11 févr. 26, 20:15 UTC31 déc. 26, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketNothing Ever Happens: Obama
PolymarketNothing ever happens 2026: Polymarket Edition
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens 2026
Manifold MarketsWill we know who Satoshi Nakamoto is within two years of Tyler Cowen’s prediction?
Manifold MarketsWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin by 2027?
KalshiRègles
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:
- - Satoshi moves any Bitcoin - Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”.
- Satoshi moves any Bitcoin
- This market will resolve to “Something” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction at any time during this market's above-specified time frame.
- The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto
Marchés ouverts
BitcoinKALSHIBTC price on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $74,750 or above99%
- $73,750 or above99%
- $74,500 or above99%
+77 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 1,1 M €
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in September?
- ↑ 80,000+31.4pt100%
- ↓ 77,500100%
- ↑ 77,500100%
+23 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETBitcoin above ___ on September 11?
- 70,000+0.2pt100%
- 72,000+0.5pt100%
- 74,000-0.7pt97%
+8 résultats de plus
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $69,000 or above99%
- $69,500 or above98%
- $68,500 or above98%
+47 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 319,9 k €
POLYMARKETWhat price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
- ↓ 60,000+10.4pt100%
- ↑ 80,000+11.9pt100%
- ↑ 75,000+30.4pt100%
+43 résultats de plus
KALSHIWhat will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Democrat+15.0pt81%
- MAGA / Make America Great Again+8.0pt76%
- Communist / Communism+13.0pt75%
+36 résultats de plus
- What price will Bitcoin hit September 7-13?
- What price will Bitcoin hit on September 10?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- How high will BTC get in September?
- BTC price range on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- How low will BTC get in September?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 12?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 14?
- BTC price range on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Bitcoin above ___ on September 15?
- Bitcoin Up or Down on September 11?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto ?
- Polymarket cote Nothing à 97% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto sera-t-il résolu ?
- Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: