PredictItVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution non vérifiéesRetail prediction exchange
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Benjamin Netanyahu 64%En tête parmi 10 options
Méthodologie
Retail prediction exchange
Type de question
-
Volume 24h
14,5 €
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
Tendances
Règles
The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the first individual, among those named in the contracts in this market, to cease formally to hold the position of head of state or government that the individual holds upon launch of this market on January 23, 2026.
- No additional contracts shall be added to this market following its launch.
In the event that two or more of the listed individuals are replaced as head of state or government, or their positions become vacant, on the same calendar day, the contract listing the candidate with the first alphabetical last name, as presented in the contract, among the individuals in question will resolve as Yes. - In the event that the tiebreaker needs to be implemented, the last name will be the last word displayed in the contract, regardless of local custom on name order.
In the event of an unclear outcome, PredictIt shall rely upon the United Nations' Protocol and Liaison Service's list of heads of state and government, located upon launch of this market at protocol.un.org/dgacm/pls/site.nsf/HSHGNFA.xsp (the "Settlement Source"), in order to resolve this market. - In such case, an incumbent shall be considered to no longer to hold his or her position on the day that the Settlement Source provides for the vacancy or appointment of another person to that position.
Should the Settlement Source not be available or not appear to be updated in a timely manner, PredictIt may at its sole discretion await its availability or select an alternate settlement source.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.
Marchés ouverts
Politics
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham-7.0pt65.7%
- Ralph Norman+5.0pt25.9%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 11,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 947,9 k €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.3pt34.7%
- Édouard Philippe27.4%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon14.7%
+125 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17.3%
- Jon Ossoff16.4%
- Gavin Newsom+2.0pt15.4%
+44 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 160,2 M €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva63.4%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.2pt32.7%
- Renan Santos+0.1pt4%
+29 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance20%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt12%
+125 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 591 M €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt85%
- Republican Party15%
- Volume total
- 20,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 500,4 k €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which of these 10 Asian leaders will leave office next? ?
- PredictIt cote Benjamin Netanyahu à 64% au 21 août 2026.
- Comment Which of these 10 Asian leaders will leave office next? est-il réglé ?
- PredictIt règle ce marché comme suit : The contract that resolves to Yes shall be that which identifies the first individual, among those named in the contracts in this market, to cease formally to hold the position of head of state or government that the individual holds upon launch of this market on January 23, 2026.