KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
William Ruto 18.9%+7.0ptEn tête parmi 10 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
57 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
784,9 €
Liquidité
10,5 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
6.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 19 minutes
6 févr. 25, 15:001 janv. 35, 15:00
Tendances
Règles
If the President of Kenya is the first leader among the above to leave office, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:The New York TimesThe Wall Street JournalThe Washington PostABCNBCMSNBCSemaforAxiosThe InformationFox NewsPoliticoBloombergAP
- An announcement that a leader will leave their position is not sufficient to resolve the Payout Criterion; the individual must actually leave and no longer hold the title.
- If any leader leaves solely because they have died, then all markets will resolve and the Exchange will determine the payouts to the holders of long and short positions based upon the last traded price (prior to the death) or another fair price.
- If the President of South Africa is the first leader among the above to leave office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President of Egypt is the first leader among the above to leave office, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the President of Rwanda is the first leader among the above to leave office, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsKALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16%
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 180,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 945,4 k €
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.3pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez11%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 601 M €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva56.6%
- Flávio Bolsonaro39.4%
- Renan Santos+0.3pt2%
+16 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIMassachusetts Democratic Senate nominee?
- Ed Markey+0.5pt99%
- Seth Moulton-0.9pt1%
- Ayanna Pressley0%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 1,8 M €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.2pt33%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt27%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon14%
+38 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- Flávio Bolsonaro-0.5pt86%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva+0.9pt13%
- Augusto Cury-0.1pt1%
+15 résultats de plus
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Which of these African leaders will leave office next? ?
- Kalshi cote William Ruto à 19% au 1 septembre 2026.
- Quand Which of these African leaders will leave office next? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Which of these African leaders will leave office next? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2035.
- Comment Which of these African leaders will leave office next? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the President of Kenya is the first leader among the above to leave office, then the market resolves to Yes.