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  • Accueil
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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Politique
  3. Which World Leaders will be out in 2026?
Manifold Markets

Which World Leaders will be out in 2026?

PolitiqueIA6mo
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSans KYC
Prévision communautaire actuelle
Manifold Markets
Pedro Sanchez (Spain Prime Minister) 50.9%
En tête parmi 13 options
Prévisionnistes

36

Type de question

multiple choice

Méthodologie

Play-money forecasting platform

Type de source

Prévision

Données du marché

Mis à jour hier

Obsolète
20 févr. 26, 23:0231 déc. 26, 23:59

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

Pedro Sanchez (Spain Prime Minister)51%

Règles

To count as out, the leader must make an official announcement by 11.59pm 31 December 2026 in their countries capitals time zone that they are leaving or intending to leave their role, or they have left their role for any reason.

Manifold Markets
  • Update 2026-02-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For leaders with elections: they must have left the role by the deadline (not just announced intention to leave).
  • If a leader loses an election but remains in office during coalition negotiations, they do not count as "out" until they have actually left the role.

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Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$65,469.71+1.37%SolanaSOL$70.85+2.71%EthereumETH$1,713.34+1.66%DogecoinDOGE$0.0884+0.63%BNBBNB$613.62+0.62%AvalancheAVAX$6.71-0.10%

Actualités Associées

Decentralized AI Networks Emerge as Counterweight to Government Control Over Frontier ModelsBlockchain ReporterAmazon warning triggered US crackdown on Anthropic AI models: ReportsCointelegraphIsrael PM odds edge toward Netanyahu as Polymarket shows hedged outlookBlockchain.NewsAnthropic shuts down Fable 5 access after US interventionCrypto NewsAnthropic's pre-IPO shares fall as US government shuts down its most powerful AI modelCoindeskAnthropic Halts Fable 5, Mythos 5 AI Models Following US OrderBlockchain.News

Règles

To count as out, the leader must make an official announcement by 11.59pm 31 December 2026 in their countries capitals time zone that they are leaving or intending to leave their role, or they have left their role for any reason.

Manifold Markets
  • Update 2026-02-20 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For leaders with elections: they must have left the role by the deadline (not just announced intention to leave).
  • If a leader loses an election but remains in office during coalition negotiations, they do not count as "out" until they have actually left the role.