What will happen during Trump's second term?
PolitiqueOne-OffSanté et médecinePolitique américaineÉlectionIAGéopolitique2a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
RFK Jr. gets cabinet position or position in any public health department 100%En tête parmi 131 options
RFK Jr. gets cabinet position or position in any public health department 100%Prévisionnistes
145
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
-0.8 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
8 nov. 24, 03:31 UTC22 janv. 29, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What Will Happen During Trump's Second Term (2025-2029)?
Manifold MarketsWill prominent rationalists judge that Trump's second term was the most positively impactful term in the last 68 years?
Manifold MarketsWhite House ballroom completed before the end of Trump's second term?
Manifold MarketsWill a Supreme Court justice retire during Trump’s second term?
Manifold MarketsHow many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?
KalshiWill Trump go on SNL during his second term?
KalshiRègles
Criteria for the answers I have added.
- I may interpret answers others have added and write my interpretations here as well:
- the named outcome: Will resolve yes if the named outcome happen in Trump's second term.
- None of the actions from Trump's first term would count for this market.
- the named outcome: Will resolve yes if, at any point during Trump's term, the Supreme Court has more than nine justices.
- Temporary appointments will count as a justice for the purposes of this market.
