Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
RFK Jr. gets cabinet position or position in any public health department 100%En tête parmi 36 options
Prévisionnistes
95
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète8 nov. 24, 03:31 UTC22 janv. 29, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What Will Happen During Trump's Second Term (2025-2029)?
Manifold MarketsHow many times will the Fed raise rates during Trump's second term?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a coup attempt against Donald Trump during his second term?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump go on SNL during his second term?
KalshiHow many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?
KalshiWill Trump be impeached in his second term?
FutuurRègles
Criteria for the answers I have added.
- I may interpret answers others have added and write my interpretations here as well:
- the named outcome: Will resolve yes if the named outcome happen in Trump's second term.
- None of the actions from Trump's first term would count for this market.
- the named outcome: Will resolve yes if, at any point during Trump's term, the Supreme Court has more than nine justices.
- Temporary appointments will count as a justice for the purposes of this market.
Marchés ouverts
Politics
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POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
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POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
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- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour What will happen during Trump's second term? ?
- Manifold Markets cote RFK Jr. gets cabinet position or position in any public health department à 100% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand What will happen during Trump's second term? sera-t-il résolu ?
- What will happen during Trump's second term? doit être résolu le 22 janvier 2029.
- Comment What will happen during Trump's second term? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Criteria for the answers I have added.