Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 83.6%
Prévisionnistes
61
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète9 nov. 24, 15:25 UTC16 janv. 29, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Which Supreme Court justice will retire/die next?
Manifold MarketsWhich Supreme Court Justice will retire or die next?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next Supreme Court justice?
KalshiIf Democrats win the Senate in 2026, will the Senate confirm a new Supreme Court justice before January 3, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Ted Cruz be a Supreme Court Justice before January 20 2029?
Manifold MarketsNew Supreme Court justice confirmed?
KalshiRègles
Will a US Supreme Court justice retire during Trump’s second term? Only includes retirements, not deaths, impeachments, or other removals or changes (e.g. court expansion).
- Resolves NO when Donald Trump’s second term ends, and N/A if he never begins a second term.
