Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 91.6%
Prévisionnistes
60
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète9 nov. 24, 15:25 UTC16 janv. 29, 07:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?
KalshiWill Ted Cruz be a Supreme Court Justice before January 20 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill the next Supreme Court justice be appointed by a Democrat?
Manifold MarketsWhich Supreme Court justice will retire/die next?
Manifold MarketsAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
PolymarketNew Supreme Court justice confirmed?
KalshiRègles
Will a US Supreme Court justice retire during Trump’s second term? Only includes retirements, not deaths, impeachments, or other removals or changes (e.g. court expansion).
- Resolves NO when Donald Trump’s second term ends, and N/A if he never begins a second term.