KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Before Jan 21, 2029 60%En tête parmi 5 options
Qualité du marché
37 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
61,4 k €
Liquidité élevéeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
30 juin 26, 16:00 UTC1 oct. 26, 14:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How will the next Supreme Court justice be confirmed?
Manifold MarketsSupreme Court Justice Out/New Justice Confirmed by EOD Jan 3 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the next justice be confirmed to the Supreme Court of the United States?
Manifold MarketsAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
PolymarketWho will be the next Supreme Court justice?
KalshiWill any Supreme Court Justice be charged with a federal crime?
KalshiRègles
If the Senate confirms a new justice to the Supreme Court between Issuance and September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Library of Congress
- If the Senate confirms a new justice to the Supreme Court between Issuance and December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Senate confirms a new justice to the Supreme Court between Issuance and May 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Senate confirms a new justice to the Supreme Court between Issuance and December 31, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the Senate confirms a new justice to the Supreme Court between Issuance and January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour New Supreme Court justice confirmed? ?
- Kalshi cote Before Jan 21, 2029 à 60% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand New Supreme Court justice confirmed? sera-t-il résolu ?
- New Supreme Court justice confirmed? doit être résolu le 1 octobre 2026.
- Comment New Supreme Court justice confirmed? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the Senate confirms a new justice to the Supreme Court between Issuance and September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.