Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNo Supreme Court Justice Leaves 87.9%En tête parmi 3 options
Prévisionnistes
12
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 heures
Obsolète25 mars 26, 08:12 UTC3 janv. 27, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Territory of Essequibo confirmed as part of Guyana by the International Court of Justice (ICJ)?
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Manifold MarketsWill any sitting Supreme Court justice leave before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next person appointed as a Supreme Court Justice in the USA?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market resolves based on whether a U.S. Supreme Court Justice announces retirement/resigns/dies/out for any reason and whether a replacement is confirmed by the Senate before the end of Jan 3 2027.
- The market resolves to one of three outcomes:
- the named outcome: A sitting Justice announces retirement/resigns/dies and the Senate confirms their replacement before 11.59pm DC Time Jan 3 2027.
- the named outcome: A sitting Justice announces retirement/out but no replacement is confirmed by 11.59pm DC Time Jan 3 2027.
- the named outcome: No sitting Justice out by Jan 3 2027.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the Supreme Court and Senate confirmation votes, verifiable at supremecourt.gov and senate.gov, and major media reporting.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Supreme Court Justice Out/New Justice Confirmed by EOD Jan 3 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No Supreme Court Justice Leaves à 88% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Supreme Court Justice Out/New Justice Confirmed by EOD Jan 3 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Supreme Court Justice Out/New Justice Confirmed by EOD Jan 3 2027? doit être résolu le 3 janvier 2027.
- Comment Supreme Court Justice Out/New Justice Confirmed by EOD Jan 3 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This market resolves based on whether a U.S. Supreme Court Justice announces retirement/resigns/dies/out for any reason and whether a replacement is confirmed by the Senate before the end of Jan 3 2027.