PredictItVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution non vérifiéesRetail prediction exchange
Probabilité implicite actuelle
Non 85%
Non 85%Méthodologie
Retail prediction exchange
Type de question
-
Volume 24h
33 €
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
6 janv. 26, 16:08 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
If Democrats win the Senate in 2026, will the Senate confirm a new Supreme Court justice before January 3, 2029?
Manifold MarketsIf Republicans keep the Senate in 2026, will the Senate confirm a new Supreme Court justice before January 3, 2029?
Manifold MarketsAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
PolymarketSupreme Court Justice Out/New Justice Confirmed by EOD Jan 3 2027?
Manifold MarketsNew Supreme Court justice confirmed?
KalshiWill a Supreme Court Justice die, retire or be replaced for any reason by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market shall resolve as Yes if any individual is confirmed to the role of Chief Justice or Associate Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States in 2026.
- Any nomination that does not result in a confirmation shall have no effect on the outcome of this market.
The outcomes of committee votes, hearings, or reports, cloture votes and other procedural votes will have no impact on the resolution of this market.
Confirmation of an Associate Justice to the position of Chief Justice is sufficient for this market to resolve to Yes.
PredictIt’s decisions and determinations under this rule shall be at PredictIt’s sole discretion and shall be final.