KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Non 85%
Qualité du marché
62 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
77,4 €
Liquidité
6,2 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
13.0% / 15.0%
Écart
2.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
29 janv. 25, 15:00 UTC20 janv. 29, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump finish his second term?
Manifold MarketsWhat Will Happen During Trump's Second Term (2025-2029)?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump be impeached during his second term?
Manifold MarketsHow many executive orders will Trump sign in his second term?
KalshiWill Trump be impeached in his second term?
FutuurSourcery with Molly O'Shea: Will Donald Trump go on?
KalshiRègles
If President Trump does a new appearance on SNL before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Saturday Night Live
Marchés ouverts
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
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- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Trump go on SNL during his second term? ?
- Kalshi cote No à 85% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Trump go on SNL during his second term? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Trump go on SNL during his second term? doit être résolu le 20 janvier 2029.
- Comment Will Trump go on SNL during his second term? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If President Trump does a new appearance on SNL before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.