Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
1.0 pts (24h)One-OffGéopolitiqueMoyen-Orient2mois
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
December 31 6%-1.0ptEn tête parmi 11 options
December 31 6%-1.0ptQualité du marché
≤74 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
44,3 k €
Liquidité
317,3 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
521
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
14 mars 26, 00:25 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
April 15Perdu
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Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Polymarket
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Ordre minimum (parts):
- 5
- Pas de cotation:
- 1 points de pourcentage
- Frais:
- Non
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kharg Island is no longer under Iranian control by the named outcome, 2026 11:59PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- “No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Kharg Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
- Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
- An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
- If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
