PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
December 31 8%En tête parmi 10 options
Qualite du marche
74 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
76,7 k €
Liquidité
566,3 k €
Liquidité élevéeSpread
0.1 pt
Spread serréComments
514
Variation 7j
-0.3 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 21 minutes
14 mars 26, 0:251 janv. 27, 4:59
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Règles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kharg Island is no longer under Iranian control by the named outcome, 2026 11:59PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- “No longer under the control of Iran” means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Kharg Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
- Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
- An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
- If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
