Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
0.3 pts (24h)GéopolitiqueOne-OffMiddle East22j
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesAucune cotation en direct
Données au 8 sept. 2026, 23:40 UTC · politique pm-quality-3
Probabilité implicite actuelle
September 30 2%-0.4pt
Qualité du marché
37 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
59,2 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
- / 0.1%
Commentaires
0
Variation 7j
-0.6 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
5 août 26, 00:26 UTC1 oct. 26, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
PolymarketFarsi Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
PolymarketAbu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
PolymarketKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
LimitlessWill the US invade Iran's Kharg Island by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US invade Iran's Kharg Island by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one of the specified islands is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- The islands that will be considered for resolution are: Farsi Island, Hengam Island, Hormuz Island and Kharg Island.
- "No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over at least one of the specified islands, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control.
- Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
- An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.