PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelleAugust 31 23%+1.5%En tête parmi 4 options
Qualite du marche
73 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
66,4 k €
Liquidité
145,7 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
3.1% / 4.0%
Spread
29.0%
Spread largeVariation 7j
-10.4%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
25 juin 26, 23:2331 août 26, 23:59
Tendances
0%
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
August 3123%
Grosses transactions
$1.4k86.0%NoJAMJAMJAM4hier
$3.5k89.0%NoMEPPhier
$1.4k14.0%Yestrashpilothier
$1.3k87.0%No0x6bab…0fe5avant-hier
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran initiates a general closure of its airspace, that is not solely due to weather conditions, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A “general closure” refers to a cancellation or suspension of aviation which is generally applicable to all commercial flights transiting Iranian airspace (“Tehran FIR”).
- A qualifying closure must apply generally to all of Iran or the Tehran FIR; limited cancellations, delays, or partial closures will not qualify.
- A closure which applies generally to commercial aviation across Iranian airspace, with limited exceptions for certain categories of flights, however, will qualify (e.g. exceptions for certain flights pre-approved by the Iranian Civil Aviation Authority may be permitted).
- Qualifying previous examples include the February 28, 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace (https://www.iranintl.com/en/202602289115) and the January 2026 total closure of Iranian airspace except to international flights with express governmental permission (https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/iran-shuts-airspace-most-flights-flightradar24-says-2026-01-14/).