Does the US take control of Kharg Island (Iran) with boots on the ground even just for an hour before ... (UTC)?
PolitiqueMatières premièresIAGéopolitique2mois
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Before 2027 8.6%En tête parmi 4 options
Before 2027 8.6%Prévisionnistes
36
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
0.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 14 heures
Obsolète8 mars 26, 17:18 UTC31 déc. 26, 17:13 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
If Trump puts boots on the ground in Iran, will Dems win the Senate?
Manifold MarketsKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
PolymarketWill the US invade Iran's Kharg Island by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US invade Iran's Kharg Island by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
Limitless🇺🇸🇮🇷 American boots on the ground in Iran by the end of Trump's term?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if the United States takes control of Kharg Island for at least an hour before the specified deadline.
- Control is defined as US military forces establishing and maintaining physical presence on the island with the ability to direct operations.
- Resolution will be based on credible reporting from major news outlets, official US government statements, or documented military operations.
- The market resolves NO if the deadline passes without such control being established.
- Kharg Island is a 5-mile strip of land that serves as Iran's most important oil facility, an export terminal in the Persian Gulf that handles up to 90 percent of the nation's crude.
