If Trump puts boots on the ground in Iran, will Dems win the Senate?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineMoyen-OrientGéopolitiqueÉlectionÉlections de mi-mandat américaines 20266j
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 67.6%
Prévisionnistes
38
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 22 heures
Obsolète16 mars 26, 17:30 UTC3 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Does the US take control of Kharg Island (Iran) with boots on the ground even just for an hour before ... (UTC)?
Manifold Markets🇺🇸🇮🇷 American boots on the ground in Iran by the end of Trump's term?
Manifold MarketsWill the US put (ro)bots on the ground in Iran in 2026?
Manifold Markets2026 Midterms: Will Trump leave office OR will a family member be indicted OR will Dems win Senate before 1/20/29?
Manifold MarketsWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by which date?
PolymarketIsrael ground operation in Iran confirmed by which date?
PolymarketRègles
If this market resolves yes before the 2026 midterms,
- https://manifold.markets/BoltonBailey/will-the-us-put-boots-on-the-ground?r=UGFwZXJCb3k
- and this market resolves Yes to one of the options involving D Senate,
- https://manifold.markets/JonasVollmer/balance-of-power-who-will-control-t?r=UGFwZXJCb3k
- this market will resolve Yes.
- N/A if the first market resolves No (or isn’t resolved prior to the midterms)
