If Trump puts boots on the ground in Iran, will Dems win the Senate?
PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsMiddle EastGéopolitiqueÉlection1moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 51.9%
Prévisionnistes
28
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète16 mars 26, 17:30 UTC3 nov. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Does the US take control of Kharg Island (Iran) with boots on the ground even just for an hour before ... (UTC)?
Manifold Markets🇺🇸🇮🇷 American boots on the ground in Iran by the end of Trump's term?
Manifold MarketsWill the US put (ro)bots on the ground in Iran in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIsrael Election: Dems # of seats?
PolymarketIsrael ground operation in Iran confirmed by which date?
PolymarketWill the US officially declare war on Iran by which date?
PolymarketRègles
If this market resolves yes before the 2026 midterms,
- https://manifold.markets/BoltonBailey/will-the-us-put-boots-on-the-ground?r=UGFwZXJCb3k
- and this market resolves Yes to one of the options involving D Senate,
- https://manifold.markets/JonasVollmer/balance-of-power-who-will-control-t?r=UGFwZXJCb3k
- this market will resolve Yes.
- N/A if the first market resolves No (or isn’t resolved prior to the midterms)
