Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by which date?
1.0 pts (24h)GéopolitiqueOne-OffMiddle East3mois
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
December 31 13%-1.0ptEn tête parmi 7 options
Qualité du marché
57 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
17,2 €
Liquidité
10,2 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
62
Variation 7j
-2.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
17 mars 26, 21:51 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
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Marchés Associés
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PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if participation by Israeli military personnel in a ground operation in Iran on or after February 28, 2026, is confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- A "ground operation" is defined as a military operation that involves Israeli military ground forces conducting operations within Iranian territory.
- For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered.
- Only operations involving Israeli troops on the ground within the terrestrial territory of Iran will qualify.
- Official confirmation by the Israeli military of personnel operating on the ground within Iranian territory during the specified timeframe will resolve this market immediately.