Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 77%
Prévisionnistes
27
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 16 heures
Obsolète16 mars 26, 10:06 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
If Trump puts boots on the ground in Iran, will Dems win the Senate?
Manifold Markets🇺🇸🇮🇷 American boots on the ground in Iran by the end of Trump's term?
Manifold MarketsIsrael ground operation in Iran confirmed by which date?
PolymarketWill the U.S. deploy 1000 ground troops in Iran in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Will the US use unmanned ground vehicles or other robots intended to move over land and fulfill combat roles on Iranian soil?
- US = US army or other armed forces/branches of government.
- Robots = Vehicles or machines intended to move over distances over 100m without a driver physically touching any part of the vehicle (cord-operated do not count).
- Combat role = Directly trying to cause damage or in direct contact/support of soldiers that do.
- Examples: medevac counts, moving containers in a logistical center does not.
Marchés ouverts
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+21.6pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 25,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 695 k €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 résultats de plus
KALSHIAl Qadsiah vs Al Ahli Saudi
- Al Qadsiah+21.0pt68.6%
- Tie-3.0pt20.6%
- Al Ahli Saudi-17.0pt10.8%
- Volume total
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.0pt55.1%
- Benjamin Netanyahu28.6%
- Naftali Bennett8.2%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.1pt98%
- Yes-0.1pt2%
- Volume total
- 6,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 107,6 k €
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- No+0.1pt100%
- Yes-0.1pt0%
- Volume total
- 1,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 104,5 k €
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Al-Ittihad vs Al-Fayha
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Netanyahu out by which date?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will the US put (ro)bots on the ground in Iran in 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 77% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will the US put (ro)bots on the ground in Iran in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will the US put (ro)bots on the ground in Iran in 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will the US put (ro)bots on the ground in Iran in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Will the US use unmanned ground vehicles or other robots intended to move over land and fulfill combat roles on Iranian soil?