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  • Accueil
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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Middle East
  3. Iran leadership change by...?
Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

0.2% (24h)One-OffMiddle East6mo
PolymarketPolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
December 31
December 31 30%+1.0%
En tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche

73 / 100

Qualité moyenne
Volume 24h

52,4 k €

Liquidité

161,6 k €

Liquidité élevée
Achat / Vente

4.3% / 4.8%

Spread

11.6%

Spread large
Variation 7j

+0.2%

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes

9 mars 26, 2:5931 déc. 26, 0:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité
March 31
March 31
0%
March 13
March 13
0%
April 30
April 30
0%
May 31
May 31
0%

Résultat choisi

December 3130%

Manifold MarketsÉgalement disponible sur Manifold Markets

Manifold Markets

Iran leadership change by...?

6mo
Manifold Markets
March 13
0%
Manifold Markets
March 31
0%
Manifold Markets
April 30
0%

+7 résultats de plus

Prévision communautaire28 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice
Volume total11,2 k €
Volume 24h170,3 €
Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET).

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
  • An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.

Marchés Associés

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

4,5 M €
December 31: 68%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...?

1,3 M €
July 31: 56%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

1,2 M €
Oui: 1%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? [Polymarket]

18,4 k €
Oui: 5.8%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Manifold Markets

US - Iran nuclear deal by end of June?

12 k €
Oui: 9%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Actifs dans ces sujets

BitcoinBTC$62,606.90+2.26%EthereumETH$1,649.46+1.58%SolanaSOL$65.09+1.57%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.64%XRPXRP$1.12+0.27%BNBBNB$595.40+1.66%

Actualités Associées

Bitcoin price tumbles after Trump orders military response to IranCrypto NewsBlackRock warns of energy shock as May CPI is set to show acceleration in inflationCoindeskThe Fed, Iran, and Saylor: anatomy of the June crypto crashCrypto NewsNo-win bets keep Iran regime change odds high as market eyes 2027Blockchain.NewsBitcoin pump to $63,700 triggers the most short liquidations since late AprilCoindeskMajor cryptocurrencies under pressure as oil jumps 3%Coindesk

Règles

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET).

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
  • An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.