PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
20-24 37.1%+3.5ptEn tête parmi 5 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
78 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
5,7 k €
Liquidité
54,9 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
0.3 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
2
Variation 7j
-3.1 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
29 avr. 26, 23:58 UTC27 oct. 26, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?
PolymarketLikud seats after October 2026 Israeli elections
Manifold MarketsWill the Likud win the next Israeli election
Manifold MarketsPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketIsrael Election: RZP-Zehut # of seats?
PolymarketIsrael election: Who will be the next prime minister?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
- If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted.
- If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
- If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
- This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
Marchés ouverts
Politics
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-1.0pt84%
- Republican Party16%
- Volume total
- 25,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 812,4 k €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff-1.0pt16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.4%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 564 k €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- D-House, D-Senate+1.0pt46.6%
- D-House, R-Senate35.9%
- R-House, R-Senate-1.0pt15.5%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHIRhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- Helena Foulkes-1.4pt98%
- Dan McKee+1.3pt2%
- Gregory Stevens-0.1pt0%
- Volume total
- 734,4 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva52%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+1.3pt45.1%
- Renan Santos+0.8pt2%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)-1.0pt74%
- New People (NL)+0.1pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)+0.2pt3%
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Next French Presidential Election
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Texas Senate winner?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Israel Election: Likud # of seats? ?
- Polymarket cote 20-24 à 37% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Israel Election: Likud # of seats? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Israel Election: Likud # of seats? doit être résolu le 27 octobre 2026.
- Comment Israel Election: Likud # of seats? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.