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  • Accueil
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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Politique
  3. Israel election: will Likud lose seats?
Israel election: will Likud lose seats?

Israel election: will Likud lose seats?

14.0% (24h)One-OffPolitiqueÉlectionMiddle East
PolymarketPolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de frais

Ce marché est fermé et en attente d'une résolution confirmée.

Probabilité implicite actuelle
Oui
Oui 83%+0.1%
Qualite du marche

60 / 100

Qualité moyenne
Volume 24h

22,7 €

Liquidité

7,4 k €

Liquidité moyenne
Achat / Vente

81.0% / 85.0%

Spread

4.9%

Spread modéré
Variation 7j

+7.5%

Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 18 minutes

29 avr. 26, 23:5427 oct. 26, 0:00

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité
Oui
Oui
+0.1%
83%
Non
Non
-0.1%
17%

Ce marché est clôturé. Le trading fictif n'est disponible que sur les marchés ouverts.

Règles

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted.
  • If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
  • If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

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Actifs dans ces sujets

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Actualités Associées

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Règles

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

Polymarket
  • This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election.
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
  • If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted.
  • If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
  • If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".