PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Oui 91.1%
Qualité du marché
63 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
165,9 €
Liquidité
10,1 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
90.0% / 93.0%
Écart
3.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
3
Variation 7j
-0.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 minutes
29 avr. 26, 23:51 UTC27 oct. 26, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
PolymarketWill the Likud win the next Israeli election
Manifold MarketsLikud seats after October 2026 Israeli elections
Manifold MarketsPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketNetanyahu drops out of Israel election by which date?
PolymarketWill Benjamin Netanyahu remain the prime minister of Israel until the next election?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Likud party wins less than 32 seats in the Israeli Knesset in this election.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted.
- If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list on which it contests the election, will be counted.
- If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Israel election: will Likud lose seats? ?
- Polymarket cote Yes à 91% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Israel election: will Likud lose seats? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Israel election: will Likud lose seats? doit être résolu le 27 octobre 2026.
- Comment Israel election: will Likud lose seats? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.