Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 17 juil. 2026, 17:20 UTC · politique pm-quality-2
Prévision communautaire actuelleBenjamin Netanyahu 18.3%En tête parmi 7 options
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 jours
Obsolète15 juil. 26, 18:5930 déc. 26, 23:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Benjamin Netanyahu18%
Comparer les plateformes· Gadi Eizenkot
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMeilleur global97% de correspondance · auto | Moyenne | 52% | — | 455,4 k € | 1,9 M € | il y a 3 minutes | Ouvrir → |
 Kalshi83% de correspondance · lié | Moyenne | 52% | — | 1,7 k € | 35,4 k € | il y a 23 minutes | Ouvrir → |
 Futuur68% de correspondance · lié | Faible | 53% | — | 0 € | 3,1 k € | il y a 23 minutes | Ouvrir → |
 Limitless90% de correspondance · lié | Faible | 52% | — | 0 € | 0 € | il y a 23 minutes | Ouvrir → |
| Manifold Markets90% de correspondance · lié | — | 46% | — | — | — | il y a 35 jours | Ouvrir → |
| Manifold Markets78% de correspondance · lié | — | 51% | — | — | — | il y a 8 jours | Ouvrir → |
| Manifold MarketsCette page | — | 48% | — | — | — | il y a 8 jours | |
 PredictIt69% de correspondance · lié | — | 42% | — | — | — | il y a 23 minutes | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
5mo
+3.5%52%
-2.0%34%
-1.0%7%
+25 résultats de plus
73 • Qualité moyenneSpread largeLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total26,1 M €
Volume 24h455,4 k €
POLYMARKETÉgalement disponible sur Manifold Markets
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
3a
46%
23.7%
17.4%
+13 résultats de plus
Prévision communautaire49 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSÉgalement disponible sur Limitless
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after next election?
1a
52%
50%
50%
+2 résultats de plus
28 • Faible qualitéSpread inconnuFaible liquiditéMarché peu profond
Volume total3,3 k €
Volume 24h0 €
LIMITLESSÉgalement disponible sur Kalshi
Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
2.0%1a
+4.0%52%
-2.0%33%
+8.0%10%
+15 résultats de plus
64 • Qualité moyenneSpread largeLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total62,2 k €
Volume 24h1,7 k €
KALSHIÉgalement disponible sur Manifold Markets
Who will be the Israeli PM after the next election?
3mo
+8.1%51.2%
-0.5%37.5%
-7.6%7.7%
+10 résultats de plus
Prévision communautaire100 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSÉgalement disponible sur PredictIt
Who will be the Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
9.0%3a
-9.0%42%
16%
-3.0%9%
+6 résultats de plus
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITÉgalement disponible sur Futuur
Israel’s next prime minister after the 2026 election
3mo
53%
37%
9%
44 • Faible qualitéSpread inconnuLiquidité moyenneAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total879,4 €
Volume 24h0 €
FUTUURRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially sworn in as the Prime Minister of Israel by the Knesset following the next legislative election (scheduled for October 27, 2026, or sooner if a snap election is triggered beforehand).
- "Sworn In" Definition: The resolution will be determined by the first person who successfully forms a government and takes the oath of office in the Knesset.
- In the event of a rotational premiership agreement, the individual who serves as Prime Minister first will be the resolving winner.
- Hung Knesset: This option will resolve to YES if the Knesset elected in the next election fails to form a governing coalition within the legally mandated timeframe.
- A caretaker Prime Minister continuing to serve in an interim capacity during this political deadlock does not count as being sworn in for a new term.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Grosses transactions
$1.2k66.0%POLYMARKETWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — NoGeoStrategistPro-6 h
POLYMARKETWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — NoGeoStrategistPro-6 h$11.4k99.4%POLYMARKETWill Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — NoALONE36-21 h
POLYMARKETWill Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — NoALONE36-21 h$6.3k62.0%POLYMARKETWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — Noflawfence-3 j
POLYMARKETWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — Noflawfence-3 j$11.0k99.8%POLYMARKETWill Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — NoALONE36-6 j
POLYMARKETWill Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — NoALONE36-6 j$1.1k99.6%POLYMARKETWill Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — Nohklcrypt-8 j
POLYMARKETWill Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — Nohklcrypt-8 j$6.6k32.2%POLYMARKETWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — YesFussy-Countryside-8 j
POLYMARKETWill Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — YesFussy-Countryside-8 j$5.2k99.8%POLYMARKETWill Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — No0xe5da…03a1-11 j
POLYMARKETWill Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — No0xe5da…03a1-11 j$1.0k99.7%POLYMARKETWill Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — NoCarpenter-13 j
POLYMARKETWill Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? — NoCarpenter-13 jTendance du volume
$45115 juil.3j de données17 juil.
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially sworn in as the Prime Minister of Israel by the Knesset following the next legislative election (scheduled for October 27, 2026, or sooner if a snap election is triggered beforehand).
- "Sworn In" Definition: The resolution will be determined by the first person who successfully forms a government and takes the oath of office in the Knesset.
- In the event of a rotational premiership agreement, the individual who serves as Prime Minister first will be the resolving winner.
- Hung Knesset: This option will resolve to YES if the Knesset elected in the next election fails to form a governing coalition within the legally mandated timeframe.
- A caretaker Prime Minister continuing to serve in an interim capacity during this political deadlock does not count as being sworn in for a new term.