Israel election: Which party will win the most seats?
8.0 pts (24h)PolitiqueOne-OffÉlectionMoyen-Orient9h
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleYashar (Gadi Eizenkot) 77%+8.0ptEn tête parmi 6 options
Prévisionnistes
40
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+6.9 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 23 minutes
15 juil. 26, 18:50 UTC27 oct. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the political party or joint electoral list that wins the highest number of seats in the Knesset in the next Israeli legislative election (scheduled for October 27, 2026).
- Resolution will be based on the official final results published by the Israeli Central Elections Committee (CEC).
- The official results can be verified on the CEC Official Website or via primary national news reports covering the final certification.
- In the event of a tie in the number of seats won, the party with the higher total popular vote according to the official CEC data will be declared the winner.
- The Israeli authorities have confirmed the next general election for October 27, 2026.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
- Également disponible sur Polymarket — Israeli Legislative Election Winner · Yashar 76%
- Également disponible sur Limitless — Israeli Legislative Election Winner · Yashar 77%
- Également disponible sur Kalshi — Israeli legislative election winner? · Yashar 61%
- Également disponible sur Futuur — Winner of Israel's legislative election · Yashar 76%
