Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle35-39 51.7%En tête parmi 7 options
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Variation 7j
+37.4 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 heures
Obsolète18 oct. 26, 08:41 UTC8 nov. 26, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the party with the most seats supply the prime minister after the 2026 NZ Election?
Manifold MarketsNZ Election: National Party # of seats?
PolymarketWill the party with the most seats supply the prime minister after the 2026 NZ Election?
Manifold MarketsNZ Election: National Party # of seats?
Manifold MarketsNZ election: Labour v National, Who gets higher % of Party List Vote
Manifold MarketsNZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)
PolymarketRègles
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Labour Party in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
- If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
- This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Labour Party in this election.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
