Probabilité implicite actuelle
Labour 55.5%+3.5pt
Qualité du marché
32 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
67 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
21.0% / 90.0%
Écart
69.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
1
Variation 7j
+3.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
29 avr. 26, 23:52 UTC7 nov. 26, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Labour and National combined recieve 70.00% or more of the party vote in the 2026 NZ election?
Manifold MarketsNZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?
PolymarketNZ Election: National Party # of seats?
PolymarketWill Smotrich and Ben Gvir run on the same party list?
PolymarketHow are party-list seats divided in Russian state Duma in 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsWill Labour recieve more party vote than Greens, ACT and NZ first combined in the 2026 NZ election?
Manifold MarketsRègles
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
- New Zealand uses a mixed-member proportional electoral system in which most voters cast two votes: one for a candidate in a single-member electorate and one party vote for a political party list.
- This market will resolve to “Labour” if the Labour Party receives a higher percentage of valid party list votes than the National Party in this election.
- This market will resolve to “National” if the National Party receives a higher percentage of valid party list votes than the Labour Party in this election.
- Percentages of valid party list votes received by the Labour Party and the National Party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid party list votes each party receives by the sum of all valid party list votes cast in the election.
- This market includes party list votes cast by both the general electorate and the Māori electorate.
Marchés ouverts
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- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
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POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
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- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
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- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote) ?
- Polymarket cote Labour à 55% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote) sera-t-il résolu ?
- NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote) doit être résolu le 7 novembre 2026.
- Comment NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote) est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.