PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
35-39 38%En tête parmi 7 options
Qualité du marché
68 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
3,6 €
Liquidité
44,8 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-2.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 minutes
29 avr. 26, 23:47 UTC7 nov. 26, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)
PolymarketWill the party with the most seats supply the prime minister after the 2026 NZ Election?
Manifold MarketsNZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?
PolymarketWill Christopher Luxon lead the NZ National Party to the next election (probably 2026)?
Manifold MarketsSweden Parliamentary Elections: Social Democratic Party # of seats?
PolymarketIsrael election: Which party will win the most seats?
Manifold MarketsRègles
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the National Party in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
- If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
- This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the National Party in this election.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
