PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
35-39 35%+0.5ptEn tête parmi 7 options
Qualité du marché
46 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
49,2 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
7.2 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-4.8 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
29 avr. 26, 23:56 UTC7 nov. 26, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)
PolymarketWill the party with the most seats supply the prime minister after the 2026 NZ Election?
Manifold MarketsNZ Election: National Party # of seats?
PolymarketWill Chris Hipkins lead the NZ Labour Party to the next election (probably 2026)?
Manifold MarketsWill Unite the Union disaffiliate from the Labour Party?
Manifold MarketsHolborn and St Pancras by-election: Labour Party vote percent
KalshiRègles
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Labour Party in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election.
- If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
- This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Labour Party in this election.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by the New Zealand Electoral Commission (https://elections.nz/).
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour NZ Election: Labour Party # of seats? ?
- Polymarket cote 35-39 à 35% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand NZ Election: Labour Party # of seats? sera-t-il résolu ?
- NZ Election: Labour Party # of seats? doit être résolu le 7 novembre 2026.
- Comment NZ Election: Labour Party # of seats? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.